On one hand, there are rumours that the carry over will be much lower, compared to other years; but on the other hand there are rumors that their amount will increase into 17,000 tons
In what there is no doubt is that the carry over available will be, mainly, for the Thompson variety, since the other varieties have been sold out for several weeks and even months.
We remind you that during the last month of October there were strong frosts, mainly from East Upington to Orange River, which have caused a loss of approximately 2,500 tons of raisins; but that have been compensated by the high temperatures during the month of November, which have helped to improve the quality of the raisins.
The new crop, 2020, is developing well, in spite of the climatic factors of last October, and the expectation among the different farmers is that the volume, in comparison with the current crop, is greater, increasing their amount into 80,000 tons, being the distribution of the varieties as previous crops: mostly Thompson variety, followed by the Golden one and finally finding the Sultana, Flames or Currants.
Several processors are already in contact with the farmers for purchases of raw material for the 2020 harvest, but at much lower levels compared to the previous harvest, since the processors do not have the same pressure to buy large volumes as in the last years and prefer to wait to see the evolution of these.
However, all these factors are still very objective; Since another important factor to consider is that the raisins are still in full growth phase and that the weather conditions during this time are very important for the good development and acquisition of their natural sugar.
If from mid-January there were rains, surely there will be damage to the harvest, since natural sugars begin to accumulate, and rainwater will be absorbed through the skin of the grapes causing it to crack and "explode."
Of course, the concern is also with the rains during the drying phase of the raisins, since the raisins lie outdoors and the abuse of rains favors the appearance and formation of mold in the drying of the fruit.
So, during the next few weeks, we will see how it ends up evolving and what volumes and, above all, qualities we will have during the harvest and crop 2020.